Cutting ad budgets in a downturn is a mistake. An expensive one

Industry Contributor 23 Sep 2019 - 3 min read

Cutting ad budgets in a downturn is a mistake. An expensive one

By Lou Barrett, Managing Director, National Sales - News Corp Australia

Market Voice 3 min read

How to use generative AI beyond efficiency: Just talk to it for half an hour every week – OK Tomorrow founder Nilesh Ashra

By Nine | Partner Content

OK Tomorrow founder Nilesh Ashra is convinced AI can unlock the creative floodgates, and has some cracking examples covering customer, product and HR. But media and marketing appear to be running headlong for efficiency.

Market Voice 3 min read

Advanced Audiences: Nielsen makes synthetic, first-party data play as CMOs prioritise customer lifetime value, optimise marketing technology investments, and navigate changes in privacy laws

By Nielsen | Partner Content

Audience measurement company, Nielsen, is becoming a first-party marketing company, working directly with brands to build privacy-compliant customer segments – panel data that is synthetically overlaid with brands’ customer data platform (CDP) data.

Tags:

It’s no secret that the Australian economy has fallen on tough times, with GDP growth slowing to its lowest level in a decade. In the media world, soft business and consumer confidence have seen many companies cut their advertising budgets. That’s a mistake, and it’s an expensive one.

Key points:

There is plenty of evidence to prove that advertising during a downturn is a smart idea.
McGraw-Hill Research conducted a study of the 1981-82 recession in the US and what happened in the years after. Of the 600 companies it looked at, the ones that continued to advertise during the recession hit a 256 per cent growth rate by 1985 over their competitors that cut spending.
American Business Press analysed 143 companies during the 1974-75 US economic downturn. Companies that advertised in those years saw the highest growth in sales and net income during the recession and the two years that followed.
A study from Beykent University in Turkey shows that neglecting marketing efforts during an economic downturn will weaken a brand and make it less profitable in the long run

Given the evidence that advertising in tough times boosts market share and profit, why do some companies continue to take the axe to budgets?

There are lots of reasons, including CMOs not having a loud enough voice in their business and media companies not doing enough to sell the benefits of advertising.

Moreover, in the search for “easy” ways to protect the bottom line, advertising can be one of the first spending areas cut, particularly at companies where marketing is regarded as a cost rather than an investment. It’s certainly easier to cut an ad budget that to close a factory or lay off staff.

Another key factor is that it takes time to feel the true impact of reducing your ad spend, which often gives companies a false sense of security.

The Advertising In A Downturn report released in 2008 by the UK’s Institute of Practitioners in Advertising (IPA) spelt out the problem: “Following a budget cut, a brand will continue to benefit from the marketing investment made over the previous few years. This will mitigate any short-term business effects and will result in a dangerously misleading increase in short-term profitability.

“The longer-term business harm will be more considerable, but will not be noticed at first. Two key constituent brand relationship metrics – brand usage and brand image – suffered considerably when brands ‘went dark’ for a period of six months or more.

The IPA report is 11 years old, but its findings and advice are still important, particularly in the current environment. It’s worth reading the report just to get these key messages:

Cutting ad spending in a downturn will only help defend profits in the very short-term.
Ultimately the brand will emerge from the downturn weaker and much less profitable.
It is better to maintain share of voice (SOV) at or above share of market (SOM) during a downturn: the longer-term improvement in profitability is likely to greatly outweigh the short-term reduction.
If competitors are cutting budgets, the longer-term benefit of maintaining SOV at or above SOM will be even greater

As marketing speaker and author Samuel Scott points out in an article for The Drum earlier this year, companies have direct control over money going out but not coming in, so the immediate response in tough times is to slash costs and focus on what will generate revenue tomorrow rather than in six months. But cost cutting should be decided strategically – and marketing departments can actually benefit in such a scenario.

The IPA report backs up his view: “Whilst maintaining or reducing fixed costs [in a recession] was desirable, the opposite was true of marketing costs. Communications, R&D and new product development were all areas where increased expenditure was associated with business success during downturns. Improving customer preference whilst enabling maintained relative price were the means by which increased marketing expenditure drove success.”

Clearly there are rewards for the companies that are focused and brave enough to keep spending during tough times. History shows that they will reap the benefits when economic conditions improve.